Amalgamation of South Africa’s rural municipalities: is it a good idea?

The majority of South African municipalities facing the challenges of unemployment, poverty and weak infrastructure are in rural areas. To fulfil their mandate, they depend significantly on financial transfers. This is something that the government is focused on minimising as evidenced by the recent Department of Cooperative Governance and Traditional Affairs proposal of amalgamating many municipalities to make them self-reliant and functional. This paper asks the question: ‘will amalgamations of rural municipalities correct for financial viability and functionality’? Using case studies of amalgamated municipalities, the paper observes that amalgamations will not make all rural municipalities self-sufficient and functional.

The majority of unviable municipalities are in rural areas and depend significantly on grants to fulfil their mandates. The government is aiming to minimise this dependency, as evidenced by the recent proposal by COGTA to amalgamate many municipalities to make them self-reliant.
The COGTA sought to correct for dysfunctionality and financial unviability through the redrawing of municipal boundaries or simple amalgamation of some municipalities. In other words, the 2016 amalgamations were partly motivated by the desire to eliminate dependency and improve municipal functionality. According to the government proposal, financial viability equated to self-reliance or selfsufficiency. Dependency on grants is considered to be an indicator of lack of financial viability and a problem that can be addressed through demarcation, i.e. dividing the country into spaces that have roughly even revenue bases.
The idea of amalgamating municipalities to correct for dysfunctionality and improve their financial municipalities raises a number of research questions. First, is there a common understanding of what constitutes a viable municipality, and will merging municipalities create financially viable or self-reliant rural municipalities? Furthermore, is there a link between functionality and boundary changes, and can a boundary change or amalgamation solve functionality challenges? The main objective of this paper is to empirically evaluate the substance of the argument that the 2016 amalgamations will create 'viable' or self -sufficient/self-reliant or functional rural municipalities.
Thus, the purpose of this study is to assess whether municipalities which were due for demarcation during the 2016 local government elections will be viable and functional, at least according to the COGTA definition of viability and functionality. The data used in this paper is mainly secondary, and was sourced from National Treasury databases.

Historical context of municipal demarcation in South Africa
Demarcations and amalgamations in the local government sphere are not a new phenomenon in South Africa. Between 1948 and1994, the country's decentralisation demarcated jurisdictions and organised governance on the basis of race, rather than on the basis of functional linkages or similar criteria (van Ryneveld 1996). The racially-driven, decentralised governance system consisted of two main categories white local authorities (WLAs) and black local authorities (BLAs). 1 1 "The development of segregated local government bodies for Coloureds and Indians followed a separate path from that for Africans. Under the Group Areas Amendment Act of 1962, provincial administrators constituted 'Local Affairs Committees' or 'Management Committees' in designated Coloured and Indian areas. In their initial phases, these committees were intended to act in a purely consultative capacity in relation to WLAs, which retained administrative control over their areas. These committees would subsequently be granted full local authority status in terms of the criteria set out by provincial administrators in relation to a prescribed range of local issues. Despite their transformation into wholly elected entities, very few attained full local authority, as the majority of the committees status remained mere advisory bodies with little powers beyond granting trading licenses" (Lemon 1992). WLAs represented the earliest example of fiscal decentralisation in South Africa. Established in the early 1900s, they covered most of the country's urban areas, and were primarily responsible for providing services to urban white, Coloured and Indian citizens living in areas outside of the homelands.
Access to relatively wealthy social groups meant that WLAs enjoyed a high degree of fiscal autonomy.
In fact the notion of a viable municipality comes from the era of WLAs. WLAs were 'viable' in the sense that they were self-sufficient. They had all the tax bases (property taxes and fees) and so relied entirely on own revenues but served only a small section of the population. In contrast, post-1994 municipalities have a fundamentally different mandate, do not have all the tax bases, rely significantly on transfers and cover entire populations, including rural areas. Therefore, it is difficult to subscribe to the same notion of viability.
Initially administered by adjacent WLAs, the BLAs evolved from the community councils that were introduced in response to the uprisings of June 1976. The BLAs enjoyed very little political legitimacy, as they were regarded as a façade set up by the apartheid regime to give some form of democracy to black South Africans, while entrenching segregation (Bahl and Smoke 2003). The BLAs were unable to develop productive tax bases because of apartheid restrictions on economic development in black areas, insufficient socio-economic infrastructure that could generate service fees, and lack of access to property, quality education and formal employment among black South Africans. As a result, BLAs generated very little own-revenue, operated inefficient fiscal systems, and lacked the capacity to provide the necessary socio-economic services (Amusa and Mabugu 2016).
For much of the late 1980s and early 1990s, public anger over appalling service levels and attempts to impose rents and service charges in the BLAs led to violent rent boycotts, and fuelled the drive by civic organisations and activists to link local grievances to internal efforts to overthrow apartheid. As part of political efforts to end apartheid, a Local Government Negotiating Forum (LGNF) was established in 1992, and tasked with negotiating local settlements to rent and service boycotts, and amalgamating racially divided local authorities into a new local government system that would be more widely accepted. By 1993, negotiations at the LGNF resulted in the enactment of the Local Government Transition Act (LGTA) which outlined three phasesthe pre-interim, interim and final phases as steps towards completing the formal role of local governments under a democratic dispensation (Smoke 2001;Powell 2012).
The pre-interim phase covered the period between the democratic election of 1994 and the first local government democratic elections held in 1995/96. In terms of the LGTA, local government was organised through locally negotiated transitional councils that were established via "negotiating transitional forums" within each municipal area. Representation on these transitional councils took the form of members appointed in equal proportions from statutory institutions (such as the WLAs, BLAs and designated Indian and Coloured administrations), and non-statutory bodies (mainly civic organisations, trade unions and previously unrepresented political parties). This phase concluded with 1995/96 local government elections which ushered in the interim phase. A major prerequisite for the 1995/96 local government elections was to amalgamate the inherited apartheid-era local government structures. To facilitate this, the LGTA provided for the establishment of a Local Government Demarcation Board in each of the nine provinces, and granted these boards advisory powers to make recommendations on matters relating to boundary and ward delimitation to their respective provincial Ministers of Local Government.
The process of boundary and ward delimitation for the interim phase led to the creation of three types of municipalities: metropolitan, urban and rural. The six large urbanised areas of the country (four in the Johannesburg-Pretoria area plus one each in Durban and Cape Town) were administered within a two-tier system consisting of transitional metropolitan councils (TMCs) and transitional metropolitan substructures, while transitional local councils (TLCs) were established to govern urban areas. For rural areas not included within TLCs, local governance structures took one of three types: transitional representative councils, transitional rural councils (TRCs) and district councils (Schroeder 2003;Cameron 2006).
Chapter 7 of the 1996 Constitution made provision for three categories of municipalities: (i) Category A municipalities (metropolitan councils) that exclusively covered large urban areas; (ii) Category B municipalities (local councils) that administer non-metropolitan areas, which vary in size and extent of urbanisation, and (iii) Category C municipalities (districts councils). 2 The Local Government Demarcation Act (No. 27 of 1998) became the major policy instrument for dismantling locally segregated local government and ushering in the final phase of the local government transformation process (Government of South Africa 1998). In line with the Constitution, which stipulates that municipal boundaries are demarcated by an independent body, the Act merged the nine provincial demarcation boards into a single entity: the Municipal Demarcation Board (MDB). Unlike provincial boards, which had played a largely advisory role, the MDB was granted the status of the final decisionmaking body over matters of municipal demarcation and delimitation of municipal borders. 3 In preparation for the 2000 local elections, which commenced the final phase of transforming the local government sphere, the MDB initiated two important changes to the composition of local governments.
First, it established "wall-to-wall" municipalities, in accordance with the Constitution that called for 2 These district councils succeeded joint structures between local authorities that had been established via the Regional Services Council Act of 1985 and named "Regional Services Councils" (RSCs) and "Joint Services Boards" (JSBs). The main function of the RSCs and JSBs was to operate a regional system for providing "bulk" infrastructure services in larger urban areas, especially poor black areas, as well as some rural areas. 3 Where applicable, these powers were subject to a process that afforded any aggrieved parties or stakeholders the right to appeal decisions by the MDB, and for the MDB to consider such appeals. The motive underpinning the demarcations in the 1990s was to de-racialise municipalities that were segregated along apartheid spatial lines and, to an extent, redistribute resources from affluent municipalities to poor municipalities. White municipalities had clear tax bases, capacity and other resources but were only serving very small populations, whereas the black authorities consisted of mainly townships, tended not to have strong tax bases, and were characterised by a culture of poor services and non-payment for services. For example, in Cape Town, the main rationale for amalgamation in 1996 was to redistribute from rich municipalities to poor municipalities. The Western Cape Demarcation Board deliberately drew the boundaries of Cape Town to amalgamate the former black and white municipalities. This resulted in a one-tier municipality with geographic boundaries that cover the economic region. However, amalgamating the previously black and white local authorities created problems, such as collapsing infrastructure (e.g. water and sewerage systems) because of the increasing number of people that now had to be serviced. Other challenges included financial stress due to increasing salaries, limited experience and lack of capacity.
In 2002, financial viability became a demarcation issue after The Presidential Coordinating Council (PCC) passed a number of resolutions on local government, including the need to build financially viable municipalities. The issues of municipal financial viability are not new but has still not been resolved 15 years after developing local government.

Demarcations in 2016
In 2015 the Minister of COGTA proposed further boundary changes that would see more municipalities becoming even larger. As noted above, the principal motivation for these changes was to ensure that municipalities are financially viable and functional. This study addresses the question of whether these amalgamations will result in viable (self-sufficient/self-reliant) or functional municipalities. The 2015 boundary redeterminations will reduce the number of municipalities by 21, from 278 to 257. Table 1 shows the distribution of municipalities affected by demarcations due in 2016.    (Table 2). This situation has far-reaching implications for political representation, and democratic and governance accountability. When a local government structure is large, access to authority through public hearings, meetings, elections or direct contact is difficult; political representatives are far removed from the electorate; and citizen participation is weaker.   Botswana (2014)  589  3660 Republic of Ireland (2014)  949  4861 Mozambique (2014)  1196  20937 Lesotho (2011)  1276  1502 New Zealand (2000) 1892 2039 Zimbabwe (2013)  1962  6854 Philippines (2000) 2102 37075 Malaysia (2000)  2921  7654 Nepal (2000)  3344  7099 Australia (2000)  6637  2886 South Africa (2011)  9090  5671 Madagascar (2008)  9608  2335 Canada (2014)  19534  1819 Japan (2000)  62452  2031 China (

Why amalgamate municipalities?
Literature cites a number of reasons for amalgamations including that of economies of scale and scope.
Bigger municipalities are considered far much effective for service delivery than smaller fragmented International literature abounds with literature on municipal mergers and reasons for such amalgamations. Bird (2013a, 2013b) have noted that bigger municipalities perform better than fragmented ones. The argument is that "bigger is better" and "bigger is cheaper" because larger municipalities result in improved productivity, cost savings, enhanced quality and mix of public goods, increases administrative and technical capacity and promotes effective lobbying with other spheres of government (Dollery and Robotti 2008). Municipal amalgamation eliminates some duplication, for instance, the number of politicians and bureaucrats could be reduced. Bigger municipalities are more often able to provide an extensive array of services than small fragmented municipalities (Dollery et al. 2007;Slack and Bird, 2013a).
On the other hand, international literature also puts across very strong arguments against consolidation. Slack and Bird (2013a) argue that amalgamations of municipalities with different service levels and wage scales often translate into increased expenditures. According to these authors, salaries and benefits tend to equalise up to the level of the former municipality with the highest expenditures. This upward harmonisation of wages and salaries generally outweighs any cost savings. Consequently, in smaller municipalities, those employees who become part of the amalgamated municipality could demand wage parity with their counterparts at the larger municipality thus pushing its operating costs higher. Faguet (2004,2011) argues that many smaller municipalities stimulate competition, which is sometimes an incentive for them to be efficient, responsive and accountable to community needs.
However, despite all the strong arguments for and against consolidation, empirical evidence is at best mixed (Lago-Penas and Martinez-Vazquez 2013) and suggests that there is no optimal municipal size (Boyne 1998;Oakerson 1999;Bish 2000;Dollery et al. 2012 (Found 2012). In the USA, Boyne (1995) found evidence that consolidation is associated with higher spending while in Canada, Kushner and Siegel (2005) found that amalgamations of local governments improved efficiency in some municipalities while inefficiencies increased after some amalgamations. Cowley (2009) further argues that service delivery and administrative efficiencies are achieved with high-density developments, but are compromised with spread-out, low-density developments that are more costly to serve. Therefore, amalgamation may not achieve the economies of scale hoped for, but merely avoids insolvency for the dissolving municipality by spreading its operating costs over a wider tax base.  The study looked at the impact of municipal amalgamation on financial viability of the south Australian local government; focusing on whether a size of a municipality improves its viability. The results indicate that there is no correlation between the municipal size and its viability. It further suggests that alternative methods to improve viability and effectiveness of local authority be pursued.

Forsyth (2010) America
The question asked in this study is: "Is a county's post consolidation (boundary change) economic development significantly better than reconsolidation development?" Using time series regression analysis the study concluded that consolidations have significant impact on the distribution of economic burdens within a county, while impacts on economic development are not significant and limited on social development. The study also concludes that there are no efficiency gains that result from consolidation of counties.

America
The study tests the hypothesis that city-county consolidation promotes efficiency, equity and accountability. The study found that mergers reduce efficiency, costs associated with transition and harmonising employment and wages increases, minimal cost savings, inequities continue and accountability problems worsen.

Fleischmann (1986) America
The study looks at the benefits and costs of local boundary changes and who are the losers or winners. The study uses a case study methodology. The findings note gains such as new revenues sources (increased tax base). Areas that were poor before boundary changes benefited in the form of improved service delivery. The study notes also political and social costs/benefits. The study also found that in boundary changes the winners are largely the private actors.

Ncube and Vacu
South Africa This study looked at the fiscal and financial impacts of municipal boundary changes. The case studies and the econometric models in this study suggest that demarcation processes in South Africa have resulted in unintended economic consequences and significant transaction costs, especially during the transition phase.
City of Tshwane Budget Office (2013) South Africa This study sought to quantify the costs of the merger between the City of Tshwane and two local municipalities (Nokeng tsa Taemane and Kungwini). The findings of this study suggest that the costs related to this amalgamation were close to R1 billion.

Reingewertz (2012) Israel
The study assessed the fiscal outcomes of municipal amalgamation using the difference in differences method. The results indicate that amalgamation leads to a decrease in municipal expenditures but at the same time, it causes no decrease on the quality of services provided. Based on this, the study concludes that amalgamation may have a positive impact on municipal viability.

Fritz (2013) Germany
The study examined whether the large scale municipal amalgamations had an impact on the fiscal outcomes of the municipalities in Germany, using differences in difference approach. The results suggest that it has a significant effect, indicating a positive impact of municipal amalgamation on debt per capita and expenditure per capita and a negative impact on expenditure for administrative staff.

Methodology
According to COGTA, a third of municipalities are dysfunctional and unviable (whatever the definition) while another third are at risk, and the remaining third are functional and viable. The motivation underpinning the COGTA proposal is the elimination of dysfunctional and non-viable municipalities.
This section explains how viability, functionality and revenue-raising capacity are evaluated.

Functionality
Functionality refers to how badly or how well a municipality operates, delivers services and accounts for the money it spends. The functionality of rural municipalities scheduled for amalgamation in 2016 will be assessed by looking at the functionality indicators of management stability, fiscal stress levels and audit profiles.

Viability
The self-sufficiency or self-reliance (viability) of a municipality can be measured by its ability to raise own revenues to pay for basic public services (as per its constitutional mandate). One way of assessing the ability of demarcated municipalities to fulfil their constitutional mandate is to compare the gap between expenditure needs and revenue-raising capacity (Bandyopadhyay 2013). This gap is often referred to as the need-capacity gap or fiscal gap. Expenditure needs refer to the amount of money needed to provide minimum acceptable levels of public goods (water, electricity, refuse removal, roads, etc.), while revenue-raising capacity refers to revenues that the municipality can raise from own sources (own revenues) when exerting a standard amount of effort.
A municipality's revenue-raising capacity depends on its fiscal capacity, which can be measured using many variables. These variables range from a municipality's tax and revenue base, to its socio-economic framework and all other political and legal constraints that may prevent its full revenue potential being realised. The most important component of a municipality's fiscal capacity is its economic base. Fiscal capacity will be assessed using the following measures:  Per capita income (the wealth or income of a municipality divided by its population) captures a municipality's ability to handle a tax burden, or ability of individuals within a municipality to meet the financial needs of the community. The measure is simple and easier to understand.
 Per capita gross value added (GVA) captures the value of goods and services produced by a municipality over a given period. A higher per capita GVA value signifies a larger revenue base and greater ability to pay taxes.
 Employment (and unemployment) rates are indicators of a municipality's fiscal capacity. A higher employment rate implies a bigger tax base, as employed people pay taxes and fees, whereas a high unemployment rate means a smaller revenue base for a municipality.
 Property rates per capita are an important measure of fiscal capacity for local governments.
These taxes are significant in many municipality governments. A municipality with many properties/estates is likely to raise more revenues. Similarly when property values increase, revenue yields are likely to increase.
The following section tackles the issue of whether amalgamated municipalities will be viable in the COGTA sense.

Amalgamation and municipal viability
In the COGTA proposal, viability refers to the ability of municipalities to fulfil their constitutional mandates using their own resources. In other words, demarcations will result in municipalities that are self-reliant and self-sufficient, have a strong fiscal base to support their constitutional mandates and minimum dependency on intergovernmental transfers. Fiscal capacity is crucial for a municipality to be viable/self-sufficient or self-reliant, and so the fiscal capacities of the soon-to-be-demarcated municipalities were evaluated using a number of indicators, including revenue-raising capacity. As with other studies (Bandyopadhyay 2013;Yilmaz et al. 2007), all measures of fiscal capacity were indexed to the average, i.e. the average for each measure of fiscal capacity drawn from the whole of South Africa was equated to 100 and this was used as a base, against which individual municipality indicators were compared. These indicators are not measures of the fiscal health of a municipality but a relative gauge of whether or not a particular municipality can sustain all the assigned mandates using its own resources without intervention from national and provincial governments. Furthermore, the South African average is not necessarily the optimum but, in the absence of norms or standards, gives an indication of where an average municipality is operating in South Africa. The reader is also reminded that these measures evaluate a municipality's fiscal capacities relative to the national average, not their absolute fiscal capacities.

Dependency on transfers
Self-sufficient municipalities do not need to depend on transfers for their basic needs and are capable of delivering a range of services using own revenues. A simple dependency ratio (transfers/operating revenues) can reveal whether municipalities can sustain their mandates without significant assistance from national and provincial governments. The ratios used are the local government equitable share (LGES) as a share of total municipal operating revenue and transfer capital funding as a percentage of total capital funding.
As Figure 3 shows, the dependency ratios vary widely, from metros (A) that derive less than 10% of their revenues from transfers, to district municipalities (C) that rely on transfers for almost 90% of their total revenues. The majority of rural municipalities (B3s and B4s) 6 virtually all depend on transfers for more than 20% of their revenues, with most B4s relying on transfers for more than 50% of revenue.
These municipalities are unlikely to be self-reliant and will always be dependent on transfers. In the case of the municipalities that are due for demarcation, a majority of them depend for more than 50% of their operational revenues on the LGES. A similar picture emerges for capital funding (Figure 4). What Figures 3 and 4 show is that, given the present configurations, rural municipalities and municipalities due for demarcation will never sustain their activities without transfers. Therefore, amalgamation will never make them self-reliant because of their limited revenue base and high levels of dependency. This implies that the funding model for rural municipalities and those due for demarcation should always consist of transfers.

Own revenue index
The own revenue index ( Figure 5) is used to measure grant dependency of the 52 municipalities to be amalgamated. The index is generated from a municipality's own revenue to total revenues ratio. For illustrative purposes, seven examples of municipal clusters for amalgamation are shown in the oval shapes in Figure 5. According to the index, own revenue is the main source of income for 35 out of the 52 municipalities due for amalgamation (i.e. their own revenues are above the South African average). Figure 5 shows that most of the municipalities due for amalgamation will always be reliant on transfers.
In other words, for many municipalities, a significant degree of dependency will disappear through amalgamations, while for some clusters, grant dependency is likely to intensify. This means that transfers will continue to be the main funding window for many rural amalgamated municipalities. 7

Per capita gross value addition (GVA) index
This per capita GVA index measures the value of goods and services produced by a municipality over a given period. A municipality with a higher per capita GVA value has a potentially larger revenue base and greater ability to pay taxes than one with a low GVA value. Hlabisa and The Big Five False Bay; and Blouberg and Aganang. This suggests that some of the proposed amalgamations will not necessarily result in municipalities with a better revenue base.

Per capita income
Another well-known indicator of fiscal capacity is per capita income (Tannernwald 1999;Bandyopadhyay 2013;Yilmaz et al. 2006). Like per capita GVA, the per capita income measure captures the wealth or income potential of a municipality through a community's ability to meet its financial needs. As Figure 7 shows, around 70% of the municipalities to be demarcated in 2016 fall below the South African average for per capita income. This is a further indication that, other things being held constant, the communities of such municipalities (e.g. the Hlabisa and Big Five False Bay amalgamation) would be hard pressed to meet their financial needs.

Figure 7: Per capita income index
Source: Authors' calculations

Employment
A municipality's revenue base also depends on the employed population within its jurisdiction. The likelihood of a municipality generating a steady stream of revenues is high when a significant proportion of its population is employed. Conversely, the tax base is constrained when the unemployment rate is high. Figure 8 shows that almost half of the municipalities due for amalgamation in 2016 have belowaverage unemployment rates, indicating a weak revenue base. Clusters with above average unemployment rates include Camdeboo, Baviaans and Ikwezi; Inkwanca, Tsolwana and Lukhanji; and Ventersdorp and Tlokwe.

Poverty index
Poverty is another variable that explains a municipality's fiscal capacity, with high levels of poverty implying a weak revenue capacity. Poverty levels for all municipalities due for demarcation were compared with the average poverty level for all South African municipalities. Figure 9 indicates that over 60% of municipalities fall below the average poverty level. This suggests that for many municipalities (e.g. Hlabisa and The Big Five False Bay), the mergers will not improve their poverty levels nor their revenue base.

Figure 9: Poverty index
Source: Authors' calculations The above analysis suggests that a significant number of municipalities due for amalgamations in 2016 have weak revenue-raising capacities. This implies that amalgamations will not make many municipalities viable or self-sufficient or self-reliant. With weak revenue bases, most of the municipalities will continue to depend on transfers. Besides transfers, alternative revenue sources are required for such municipalities. The focus should also be on increasing or developing tax bases through economic development rather than amalgamating municipalities.

Can amalgamations correct for municipal dysfunctionality?
The functionality of a municipality is a function of many factors, within and outside a municipality's control. The functionality of the municipalities due for amalgamation in 2016 were assessed using four factors: (i) institutional management, (ii) financial management, (iii) governance and (iv) service delivery. Figure 10 shows that most municipalities (80%) are at risk of being dysfunctional and 6% are dysfunctional. Amalgamating municipalities that are at risk of being dysfunctional may actually worsen the problem. An interesting result concerns the amalgamation of a functional metro (Mangaung) and a dysfunctional rural area (Naledi). While this merger may achieve financial viability/self-reliance, two important elements of municipal viabilitygovernance and democracymay be compromised. With the amalgamation, political representation for marginalised communities in Naledi virtually disappear, and in many ways rural governance of these communities becomes less functional, as an urban core governs and administers rural areas. Although Naledi may not be able to achieve financial viability, it could serve a critical constitutional and democratic role. Given that many municipalities due for demarcation are not functioning well, the question becomes whether demarcation is the appropriate instrument for addressing their challenges and whether functionality can be a criterion for demarcating municipalities. In reality, many factors can cause a municipality to be dysfunctional. They include service delivery, institutional management, financial management, community satisfaction, and governance or political stability. Furthermore, such factors do not have a direct bearing on (or can be influenced by boundary changes). For example, using demarcation to correct for financial mismanagement is akin to providing a patient with a wrong pill, which may do more harm than good. The primary mandate of the Municipal Demarcation Board (MDB) is to demarcate municipal boundaries, delimit wards and carry out municipal capacity assessments, as spelt out in the Local Government: Municipal Demarcation Act (No. 27 of 1998). Correcting for dysfunctionality in municipalities is clearly not part of the MDB mandate, but that of national and provincial governments, which have a range of monitoring, support, regulatory and intervention powers at their disposal. As there are no apparent connections between municipal boundaries and municipal functionality, elevating the issue of functionality to a demarcation criterion may simply raise expectations that will never be fulfilled by demarcation. Furthermore, problems of dysfunctionality are often temporary and transient, and cannot be solved by a long-term drastic measure such as demarcation.

Conclusions and implications
Government seeks to make rural municipalities self-sufficient and less dependent on transfers. In 2015, it proposed using demarcations to achieve financial viability or self-sufficiency, and to improve functionality among rural municipalities. However, an analysis of municipalities to be demarcated in 2016 found that amalgamations will not necessarily result in financially viable municipalities and may worsen the situation of some of the demarcated municipalities. The dependency ratio of many demarcated rural municipalities is too high to be reversed by amalgamations. Many rural municipalities will continue to be transfer dependent, as their revenues bases are fragile and weak. Transfers will remain the mainstay of rural local government. The transfer system must also cater for the Constitution's acknowledgement of transfer-dependent municipalities (the Constitution sets no financial viability requirement for all municipalities but makes provision for some municipalities to be transfer dependent) (Government of South Africa 1996). Some municipalities should exist to serve other equally important roles, such as ensuring that communities are politically and democratically represented. Amalgamations should carefully be studied, and benefits of amalgamations should be based on sound empirical evidence.
On functionality, the study noted elevating this to a demarcation criterion is problematic as there is no direct nor indirect link with municipal boundaries. Municipalities can be dysfunctional for a variety of reasons that have no relationship with boundary demarcation. Amalgamations are a long-term measure that cannot correct for short-term operational problems associated with municipal dysfunctionality.
The foregoing analysis has demonstrated that many rural municipalities will continue to be transfer dependent. The analysis also suggests that demarcations are a weak instrument for pursuing financial viability of rural municipalities and a wrong one for improving the functionality of municipalities. The foregoing analysis lends itself to the following recommendations:  Rural municipalities with a low revenue base should be allowed to exist and funded through the transfer system and not forced to amalgamate as such municipalities could be serving other crucial constitutional imperatives such as democratic representation and community participation. For rural municipalities, the funding model should allow for the existence of municipalities with a low revenue base rather than forcing amalgamations. This funding model should differentiate among rural municipalities, in terms of their revenue base.
 To achieve financial viability, government should focus on increasing or developing tax bases through economic development rather than amalgamating municipalities.
 Functionality should not be elevated to a demarcation criteria as it has no direct nor indirect link with boundary changes. Functionality should be corrected through legislative, policy and capacity building measures than through amalgamations.