Abstract:
This paper forecasts Asia Pacific mobile market
trends by observing growth trends of GSM and UMTS
user numbers. Regression analysis is selected as the
forecasting tool. It is predicted that both of the GSM
and UMTS markets in Asia Pacific will keep
experiencing an exponential growth. However, the
growth rate for GSM will be relatively stable while the
one for UMTS will gradually decrease. The share of
Asia Pacific GSM market will be relatively steady
while the share of Asia Pacific UMTS market will
slowly go down in the next couple of years. In the near
future, GSM will still occupy the largest market share
in the mobile world. In Asia Pacific, the coming of the
3G era will be later than the rest of the world. It is
expected that the GSM subscriber number will reach to
about 1.5 billion in Asia Pacific by the end of 2008.
