Browsing by Author "Zizzo Daniel"

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Browsing by Author "Zizzo Daniel"

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  • Barro-Gordon revisited: Reputational equilibria with inferential expectations 
    Henckel T; Menzies Gordon; Prokhovnik Nick; Zizzo Daniel (Elsevier Inc, 2011)
    We incorporate inferential expectations into the Barro¿Gordon model (Barro and Gordon, 1983a) of time inconsistency and consider reputational equilibria. The range of sustainable equilibria shrinks as the private sector ...
  • Conflicting evidence and decisions by agency professionals: An experimental test in the context of merger regulation 
    Lyons Bruce; Menzies Gordon; Zizzo Daniel (Springer, 2012)
    Many important regulatory decisions are taken by professionals employing limited and conflicting evidence. We conduct an experiment in a merger regulation setting, identifying the role of different standards of proof, ...
  • Inferential expectations 
    Menzies Gordon; Zizzo Daniel (Economics Society of Australia, 2004)
    We propose that the formation of beliefs be treated as statistical hypothesis tests, and we label such beliefs inferential expectations. If a belief is overturned through the build-up of evidence, agents are assumed to ...
  • Inferential expectations 
    Menzies Gordon; Zizzo Daniel (Berkley Press, 2009)
    We propose that the formation of beliefs be treated as statistical hypothesis tests, and label such beliefs inferential expectations. If a belief is overturned through the build-up of evidence, we assume agents switch to ...
  • Monetary policy and inferential expectations of exchange rates 
    Menzies Gordon; Zizzo Daniel (Elsevier, 2012)
    We present a macroeconomic market experiment to isolate the impact of monetary shocks on the exchange rate, as an alternative to SVAR identification. In a non-stochastic treatment, covered interest rate parity holds and ...