Browsing by Author "Evans Geoffrey"

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Browsing by Author "Evans Geoffrey"

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  • Combined Generalised Hubbert-Bass model approach to include disruptions when predicting future oil production 
    Mohr Steve; Evans Geoffrey (Scientific Research Publishing Inc, 2010)
    In a previous study [1] the authors had developed a methodology for predicting global oil production. Briefly, the model accounted for disruptions in production by utilising a series of Hubbert curves in combination with ...
  • An Empirical Method to Make Oil Production Models Tolerant to Anomalies 
    Mohr Steve; Evans Geoffrey (Springer, 2009)
    Modeling oil production is of interest to society and hotly debated. Often anomalies have occurred which makes modeling oil production via a particular theory (e.g., Hubbert¿s bell curve) difficult. The empirical method ...
  • Forecasting coal production until 2100 
    Mohr Steve; Evans Geoffrey (Elsevier, 2009)
    A model capable of projecting mineral resources production has been developed. The model includes supply and demand interactions, and has been applied to all coal producing countries. A model of worldwide coal production ...
  • Long term forecasting of natural gas production 
    Mohr Steve; Evans Geoffrey (Elsevier, 2011)
    Natural gas is an important energy source for power generation, a chemical feedstock and residential usage. It is important to analyse the future production of conventional and unconventional natural gas. Analysis of the ...
  • Long term prediction of unconventional oil production 
    Mohr Steve; Evans Geoffrey (Elsevier, 2010)
    Although considerable discussion surrounds unconventional oil's ability to mitigate the effects of peaking conventional oil production, very few models of unconventional oil production exist. The aim of this article was ...
  • Peak Oil: Testing Hubbert's Curve via theoretical modelling 
    Mohr Steve; Evans Geoffrey (Springer, 2008)
    A theoretical model of conventional oil production has been developed. The model does not assume Hubbert¿s bell curve, an asymmetric bell curve, or a reserve-to-production ratio method is correct, and does not use oil ...